Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.183395 0.212673 0.245131 0.283789 0.328591 0.378898 0.439704
2025-06-15 0.137952 0.177228 0.225396 0.288846 0.370309 0.471513 0.607013
2025-06-22 0.109652 0.151139 0.205671 0.282663 0.388740 0.530034 0.733063
2025-06-29 0.091701 0.133855 0.192484 0.280085 0.407938 0.588217 0.862690
2025-07-06 0.079629 0.122148 0.184250 0.281707 0.431233 0.652751 1.007394
2025-07-13 0.073145 0.117305 0.184696 0.295214 0.472558 0.747210 1.207239
2025-07-20 0.066989 0.111880 0.183178 0.304901 0.508394 0.836576 1.409453
2025-07-27 0.061692 0.106972 0.181600 0.313840 0.543466 0.927972 1.625394
2025-08-03 0.056067 0.100683 0.176799 0.316446 0.567687 1.003414 1.822593
2025-08-10 0.050232 0.093222 0.168981 0.312595 0.579735 1.058599 1.989799
2025-08-17 0.044295 0.084800 0.158402 0.302309 0.578574 1.089521 2.115396
2025-08-24 0.041508 0.081871 0.157407 0.309552 0.610627 1.184450 2.372574
2025-08-31 0.038101 0.077426 0.153212 0.310460 0.631212 1.261181 2.606332
2025-09-07 0.035564 0.074399 0.151419 0.315924 0.661553 1.360587 2.898781
2025-09-14 0.032048 0.068929 0.144100 0.309160 0.665891 1.407880 3.088218
2025-09-21 0.029325 0.064784 0.138987 0.306338 0.678034 1.472377 3.322013
2025-09-28 0.027304 0.061904 0.136186 0.308113 0.700219 1.560489 3.618450
2025-10-05 0.026535 0.061704 0.139119 0.322895 0.753021 1.721271 4.099567
2025-10-12 0.025477 0.060713 0.140175 0.333497 0.797456 1.868191 4.566448
2025-10-19 0.024428 0.059618 0.140859 0.343281 0.841069 2.018026 5.058805
2025-10-26 0.022995 0.057430 0.138758 0.346133 0.868297 2.132203 5.477519
2025-11-02 0.021252 0.054274 0.134006 0.341918 0.877570 2.203978 5.798070
2025-11-09 0.019266 0.050282 0.126785 0.330660 0.867723 2.227326 5.996241